The official version: a brief handshake during a summit in Riyadh.
The unofficial reading: a geopolitical earthquake.
𧩠The Grand Bargain Nobody Talks About
Theorists, skeptics, and seasoned Middle East watchers are starting to whisper one thing: Putin has quietly ceded Syriaâââto the U.S., Turkey, and the Gulfâââin exchange for something far more valuable to him: Ukraine.
Sound far-fetched? Letâs break it down.
đ„ Why Putin Entered Syria in 2015
Contrary to popular belief, Putinâs Syrian campaign wasnât about âsaving Assadâ or fighting ISIS. It was about blocking an energy corridor: a planned Qatari-Turkish gas pipeline meant to undercut Russiaâs stranglehold on European energy markets. But thereâs more.
By intervening, Putin also slowed down Chinaâs growing influence in the region and disrupted Beijingâs silent march toward building east-west gas routes across the Arab world.
In other words, Syria was a countermeasure. A piece on the board. A lever, not a prize.
But times have changed.
đ Who Is Ahmed al-Sharaa?
The man now being normalized as Syriaâs legitimate face isnât Assad. Itâs Ahmed al-Sharaaâââa former field commander once labeled a terrorist, now rebranded as a Western-style secular leader with Hollywood charisma and polished suits. Itâs like if Che Guevara put on a Hugo Boss tie and declared himself President of Switzerland.
A fantasy? Maybe.
Or maybe someoneâââTrumpâââsaw an opening and jumped through it.
đ§ Trumpâs Political Animal Instinct
Love him or hate him, Trump has always been an intuitive geopolitical player. He doesnât read policy briefs. He sniffs out deals. And this one reeks of realpolitik:
- Normalize Syria.
- Push it into the Abraham Accords.
- Ask for the removal of Iranian proxies and Palestinian militants.
- Have Damascus rein in the ISIS detainees currently held by Kurds.
- And in return?
Let Putin focus on his âtrue objectiveââââUkraine.
A wild theory?
Or just another secret clause in the unspoken dealbook of great powers?
đ Who Gains?
- Russia: No more need to bleed in Syria. Focus shifts to Eastern Europe.
- The U.S.: Washes its hands of a decade-long Middle Eastern mess.
- Israel: Potential normalization with its oldest regional enemy.
- Turkey: Free rein against the Kurds.
- The Gulf: Another piece of the Iranian crescent neutralized.
And who loses?
Ukraine.
âïž The Yalta Syndrome Returns
This isnât the first time Eastern Europe has been traded at the table of great powers. In 1945, the West handed over half of Europe at Yalta. Could 2025 be its mirror image?
- Syria gets reintegrated.
- Putin gets space.
- Kyiv gets abandoned.
All unofficial. All deniable. But painfully plausible.
Final Thought:
In the age of post-truth diplomacy, conspiracy theories are often just âearly disclosures.â
And historyâââespecially the darker chaptersâââis usually written long after the deals are done.
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