6 May, 12:47
If we set aside Moscow’s imperial ambitions and the schizophrenia of the “Russian Myth,” then from a cynical and rational perspective, it must be admitted: contrary to the Kremlin’s hysteria of recent decades, Ukraine’s accession to NATO and the EU posed no threat to Russia’s security — on the contrary, it could have strengthened the Kremlin’s position on the global stage.
🇺🇦 Ukraine in NATO and the EU could have been a gift, not a threat.
And here’s why:
NATO is not an aggressor, but a brake. The Alliance freezes all territorial disputes, demands predictability, institutional discipline, and excludes military actions by its members. Ukraine in NATO is not a launchpad for an attack on Russia — quite the opposite: it’s a country stripped of the ability to act independently in military affairs.
Ukraine in the EU is a “Russian” bureaucratic colony. Brussels is slow, market-oriented, and driven by compromise. Any conflict with Russia would be carefully frozen by the EU — for the sake of gas, metal, and peace in Europe. That means: Kyiv would not have become Tbilisi, nor Warsaw, not even Chișinău.
Ukraine in the EU is the Kremlin’s fifth column. Let’s be honest: from the moment it gained independence, Ukraine drifted toward Russia — gaining speed and momentum. If it weren’t for the imperial claims, Ukraine could have become a “Russian Switzerland.”
No issues with the Russian language;
Ukrainians are among the most peaceful people in the world;
Russian capital flowed and laundered itself effortlessly in Ukraine;
Political parties were mostly funded by Russian money and fully loyal to the Kremlin;
Until 2014, a small bust of Dzerzhinsky could be found in almost every intelligence officer’s safe.
💰 The Kremlin would have only won:
military budget growth,
electorate intimidation,
and “legitimized fear.”
Let’s suppose Ukraine joins NATO and the EU. What does the Kremlin do?
Runs “NATO at the border” shows on TV;
Allocates $1 trillion to rearmament;
Expands the FSB and National Guard to the max;
Mass-produces tanks, rockets, and bunkers.
And all of this — legally.
No war.
No sanctions.
No mobilization.
Ukrainian NATOfication — the perfect boogeyman for squeezing resources from the budget, silencing dissent, and tightening the vertical of power.
Meanwhile, there’s no real threat to Russia at all. Ukraine has never historically attacked Russia. In essence, Ukraine would have become the Kremlin’s satellite in the enemy’s rear — like Hungary, Slovakia, Romania, Bulgaria. All of them in NATO and the EU, and all loyal to the Kremlin (at least until 2022).
But what now?
Now NATO is truly at the border, and you have — an army made of sticks and dung and a million corpses.
🪤 Soft Occupation: Ukraine could have been a second Hungary
The most absurd part is: Putin had it all, and all he needed to do was not interfere.
The Ukrainian presidency was always under Kremlin influence, and even after the Orange Revolution, the country remained a Moscow colony de facto;
The media infrastructure — even with U.S. grant projects — was either loyal or sympathetic to Kremlin-linked finances;
All oligarchs were under Kremlin control — if not operators or managers, then highly loyal to its policies;
Kremlin money was used to buy out agriculture, energy, and banking (Grigorishin, Fuchs, Medvedchuk, Boyko, Firtash, Kurchenko);
Russians would’ve gotten “European integration” and visa-free travel — without joining the EU.
In short:
Had Putin not meddled, Ukraine would have been in the EU and NATO — but de facto belonged to Russia, like Hungary today.
Politics — vassal.
Economy — dependent.
The Kremlin drinks bitter vodka and rubs its hands over a geopolitical masterstroke.
But instead, Putin turned on the propaganda flywheel, alienated Ukrainians, and waged war on Ukraine — which brought him:
Eternal contempt;
A nuclear alliance at the border;
9 years of isolation and decline;
Sweden and Finland in NATO;
A break with Europe;
And the irreversible loss of Ukraine.
🤡 Putin is not a geostrategist. He’s a geoidiot.
Putin destroyed and burned all bridges to the ground.
He bulldozed the possibility of soft annexation.
He bombed the illusion of brotherhood.
He radicalized a nation that in 2013 wanted neutrality.
And for what?
To secure a place in the history books labeled:
“Started the bloodiest and most senseless war of the 21st century. Did everything possible to turn Russia into a global pariah.”